2605.26559v1 May 26, 2026 cs.LG

Auditing and Fixing Economic Validity in Tabular Foundation Models for Discrete Choice

Xiang Sun
Xiang Sun
Citations: 74
h-index: 2
Zexin Zhuang
Zexin Zhuang
Citations: 20
h-index: 2
Yingshuo Wang
Yingshuo Wang
Citations: 6
h-index: 1
Yanhan Li
Yanhan Li
Citations: 5
h-index: 1
Zhichao Fan
Zhichao Fan
Citations: 15
h-index: 1

Tabular foundation models achieve strong accuracy on choice prediction tasks, but their predictions often violate the economic logic those tasks require: raising a price sometimes increases predicted demand, and implied willingness-to-pay estimates are frequently negative or implausible. We propose a two-stage adapter that embeds foundation model predictions within a utility-maximization framework. In the first stage, we estimate a standard choice model whose parameters are constrained to obey economic theory. In the second stage, we freeze those parameters and train a correction term that incorporates the foundation model's predictions as additional information. The result is a model that inherits the foundation model's accuracy gains while guaranteeing monotonic price-demand relationships under policy perturbation and producing analytically computable trade-off measures. On two transportation datasets, the adapter recovers up to 13 percentage points of accuracy over a standard logit model while maintaining perfect economic consistency, something neither the raw foundation models nor conventional distillation achieve.

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