N. Guo
Publications
Quantum enhanced rare event discovery and sampling
Financial crashes, cascading failures in infrastructure, and critical errors in AI systems are frequently triggered by events that occur with extremely small probability. Efficiently discovering and sampling events with probability below a threshold is therefore of critical interest. Yet this task is highly non-trivial using existing classical or quantum methods. Being rare, such events require an immense sampling overhead to collect sufficient data samples. Moreover, because the rare events are not known in advance, they cannot be flagged for amplification using standard techniques. Here, we introduce a quantum algorithm for rare-event discovery and sampling without first learning which events are rare. The algorithm achieves the optimal quantum scaling with the rarity threshold. We further demonstrate that this can achieve a quadratic speedup for heavy-tailed systems whose tail has nonvanishing total mass, and translates into a robust polynomial speedup for stationary stochastic processes, with the exponent determined by its entropy-rate structure.
COMPOSITE-Stem
AI agents hold growing promise for accelerating scientific discovery; yet, a lack of frontier evaluations hinders adoption into real workflows. Expert-written benchmarks have proven effective at measuring AI reasoning, but most at this stage have become saturated and only measure performance on constrained outputs. To help address this gap, we introduce COMPOSITE-STEM, a benchmark of 70 expert-written tasks in physics, biology, chemistry, and mathematics, curated by doctoral-level researchers. Our benchmark combines exact-match grading and criterion-based rubrics with an LLM-as-a-jury grading protocol, allowing more flexible assessment of scientifically meaningful outputs. Using an adapted multimodal Terminus-2 agent harness within the Harbor agentic evaluation framework, we evaluate four frontier models. The top-performing model achieves 21%, demonstrating that COMPOSITE-STEM captures capabilities beyond current agent reach. All tasks are open-sourced with contributor permission to support reproducibility and to promote additional research towards AI's acceleration of scientific progress in these domains.