E. Vinitsky
Publications
What Probing Reveals about Autonomous Driving: Linking Internal Prediction Errors to Ego Planning
Large-scale datasets and fast simulators have enabled improvements in driving policies that appear safe and robust, yet strong performance in nominal scenarios can still mask flawed reasoning and unsafe heuristics. Summary scores from closed-loop simulators do not give significant insight into the policy, making it difficult to determine whether they truly predict the motion of surrounding vehicles, how the ego vehicle generates future plans, or whether they merely rely on brittle heuristics that happen to succeed in nominal scenarios. To better understand the limits and weaknesses of driving policies, we focus on probing for forms of prediction, i.e., where surrounding vehicles will move next, and planning, i.e., understanding how to generate safe trajectories. We focus on these two capabilities because they reflect behaviors expected of effective driving policies, and use their presence or absence to assess policy quality across data-driven behavior cloning and simulation-driven reinforcement learning policies. To evaluate the presence of these capabilities, we investigate them as a function of scale, asking whether the closed-loop gains from larger datasets and longer simulation training reflect stronger prediction and planning or merely better behavioral heuristics. We use linear probing and targeted perturbations in both imitation learning and reinforcement learning models to track when these internal signals emerge, plateau, or fail. Despite good closed-loop performance, policies often fail to form timely surrounding-vehicle predictions during near-collision events, revealing a limitation in the predictive signals available for ego planning. Finally, causal intervention shows that correcting mistaken predictions improves ego planning toward safer trajectories.
Artificial Intelligence for Modeling and Simulation of Mixed Automated and Human Traffic
Autonomous vehicles (AVs) are now operating on public roads, which makes their testing and validation more critical than ever. Simulation offers a safe and controlled environment for evaluating AV performance in varied conditions. However, existing simulation tools mainly focus on graphical realism and rely on simple rule-based models and therefore fail to accurately represent the complexity of driving behaviors and interactions. Artificial intelligence (AI) has shown strong potential to address these limitations; however, despite the rapid progress across AI methodologies, a comprehensive survey of their application to mixed autonomy traffic simulation remains lacking. Existing surveys either focus on simulation tools without examining the AI methods behind them, or cover ego-centric decision-making without addressing the broader challenge of modeling surrounding traffic. Moreover, they do not offer a unified taxonomy of AI methods covering individual behavior modeling to full scene simulation. To address these gaps, this survey provides a structured review and synthesis of AI methods for modeling AV and human driving behavior in mixed autonomy traffic simulation. We introduce a taxonomy that organizes methods into three families: agent-level behavior models, environment-level simulation methods, and cognitive and physics-informed methods. The survey analyzes how existing simulation platforms fall short of the needs of mixed autonomy research and outlines directions to narrow this gap. It also provides a chronological overview of AI methods and reviews evaluation protocols and metrics, simulation tools, and datasets. By covering both traffic engineering and computer science perspectives, we aim to bridge the gap between these two communities.