Hanlin Zhang
Publications
Peer-Predictive Self-Training for Language Model Reasoning
Mechanisms for continued self-improvement of language models without external supervision remain an open challenge. We propose Peer-Predictive Self-Training (PST), a label-free fine-tuning framework in which multiple language models improve collaboratively by leveraging a cross-model aggregated response as an internal training signal. Given a prompt question, the models generate responses sequentially; the final aggregated answer, often more reliable than individual responses in practice, serves as an internal target for learning. We measure how informative each intermediate response is about the aggregate using pointwise mutual information (PMI), and use this signal to scale self-training updates. Responses already aligned with the aggregate are updated less, while less informative or misaligned responses are updated more. On mathematical reasoning benchmarks (SimulEq, Math500, and MultiArith), PST improves exact-match accuracy by 2.2 to 4.3 percentage points across Gemma-2-2B, LLaMA-3.2-1B, and Qwen-2.5-1.5B, and reduces the average generator-verifier gap (GV-Gap) by 26 to 40 percent, while requiring no external supervision or teacher-student hierarchy and relying solely on cross-model interactions. These results suggest that cross-model generations and peer-predictive feedback can serve as an effective approach for self-supervised training.
Prescriptive Scaling Reveals the Evolution of Language Model Capabilities
For deploying foundation models, practitioners increasingly need prescriptive scaling laws: given a pre training compute budget, what downstream accuracy is attainable with contemporary post training practice, and how stable is that mapping as the field evolves? Using large scale observational evaluations with 5k observational and 2k newly sampled data on model performance, we estimate capability boundaries, high conditional quantiles of benchmark scores as a function of log pre training FLOPs, via smoothed quantile regression with a monotone, saturating sigmoid parameterization. We validate the temporal reliability by fitting on earlier model generations and evaluating on later releases. Across various tasks, the estimated boundaries are mostly stable, with the exception of math reasoning that exhibits a consistently advancing boundary over time. We then extend our approach to analyze task dependent saturation and to probe contamination related shifts on math reasoning tasks. Finally, we introduce an efficient algorithm that recovers near full data frontiers using roughly 20% of evaluation budget. Together, our work releases the Proteus 2k, the latest model performance evaluation dataset, and introduces a practical methodology for translating compute budgets into reliable performance expectations and for monitoring when capability boundaries shift across time.
Weight Decay Improves Language Model Plasticity
The prevailing paradigm in large language model (LLM) development is to pretrain a base model, then perform further training to improve performance and model behavior. However, hyperparameter optimization and scaling laws have been studied primarily from the perspective of the base model's validation loss, ignoring downstream adaptability. In this work, we study pretraining from the perspective of model plasticity, that is, the ability of the base model to successfully adapt to downstream tasks through fine-tuning. We focus on the role of weight decay, a key regularization parameter during pretraining. Through systematic experiments, we show that models trained with larger weight decay values are more plastic, meaning they show larger performance gains when fine-tuned on downstream tasks. This phenomenon can lead to counterintuitive trade-offs where base models that perform worse after pretraining can perform better after fine-tuning. Further investigation of weight decay's mechanistic effects on model behavior reveals that it encourages linearly separable representations, regularizes attention matrices, and reduces overfitting on the training data. In conclusion, this work demonstrates the importance of using evaluation metrics beyond cross-entropy loss for hyperparameter optimization and casts light on the multifaceted role of that a single optimization hyperparameter plays in shaping model behavior.