Preslav Nakov
Famous AuthorPublications
Seeing Is Not Deciding: Can Multimodal LLMs Act as Effective CEOs?
Large language models are increasingly applied as autonomous decision-making agents. However, in executive business decisions, existing benchmarks are limited to textonly settings. This makes it unclear whether models can perceive visual business evidence and effectively integrate it to improve decision quality. We introduce C-SUITEBENCH, a controlled multimodal benchmark that includes five decision tasks under paired text-only and multimodal conditions across 50 scenarios. We place nine frontier models in the role of a chief executive officer and evaluate their decision-making ability. Multimodal inputs consistently improve evidence-centric reasoning, with the largest and most reliable gains appearing in risk forecasting and board-facing justification. However, we uncover a multimodal integration paradox: adding visual business information degrades constrained resource allocation for all nine models, even as visual grounding itself improves. Ablation experiments reveal that this failure emerges from signal crowding, although each visual channel helps individually, their combination disrupts constraint satisfaction during decoding. These findings demonstrate that visual perception and constrained action are separable bottlenecks in multimodal agents, and that indiscriminate visual augmentation can harm high-stakes decision making, motivating selective grounding strategies for future executive AI systems.
One More Turn, Less Regret: A Regret-Based Multi-Turn Benchmark for LLMs' Clarification Policies
Ambiguous user requests make clarification a sequential decision problem for conversational LLM assistants: they must decide whether to ask, what to ask, when to stop, and when to answer. We introduce RegretBench, a multi-turn benchmark that evaluates clarification as policy behavior rather than isolated question quality. RegretBench provides a hidden-intent formulation of ambiguity, supports free-form interaction grounded in semantic-state tracking, and introduces a regret-based objective that measures how much value a model loses relative to a reference clarification policy. Experiments on open-domain QA and product recommendation scenarios show that final success alone is insufficient, as models with similar accuracy can differ substantially in efficiency, robustness to user behaviors, and stopping decisions. By jointly measuring intent resolution, interaction cost, ineffective clarification, and regret, RegretBench reveals whether models clarify usefully and efficiently. Our results show that effective clarification requires more than plausible questions: models must ask the right question at the right time and stop once the user's intended meaning is clear.
Overview of FinMMEval 2026 Task 2: Multilingual Financial Short-Answer Question Answering
FinMMEval 2026 Task 2 evaluates short-answer financial question answering over multilingual evidence. Each final-test item pairs an English question with financial statements and news in English, Chinese, Japanese, Spanish, and Greek. Participating systems submit one concise answer per item in JSONL format. The final-test set contains 256 items, split evenly between easy and expert tiers; each tier contains four question templates instantiated over 32 company-report groups. Gold answers were withheld during submission, and systems were ranked by macro-averaged item-level ROUGE-1 F1 against organizer-held reference answers. The final leaderboard includes 12 ranked submissions. The strongest systems are closely clustered, with the top four separated by less than one percentage point in ROUGE-1 F1. The submitted system papers document retrieval-augmented generation, cross-lingual evidence handling, structured prompting, answer compression, and validation strategies.
Overview of FinMMEval 2026 Task 1: Multilingual Financial Multiple-Choice Question Answering
FinMMEval 2026 Task 1 evaluates multilingual financial multiple-choice question answering in English, Chinese, Arabic, and Hindi. The task tests whether systems can select the correct answer to finance questions involving domain terminology, numerical interpretation, and conceptual financial reasoning across languages and scripts. The final-test set contains 800 questions, with 200 questions per language; gold answers were withheld during submission, and each language was ranked independently by accuracy. The final leaderboards contain 13 English, 11 Chinese, 11 Arabic, and 10 Hindi ranked submissions. Top accuracies range from 92.0% in Hindi to 97.5% in English and Arabic, with the same leading teams appearing near the top across all four languages. The documented systems used retrieval augmentation, direct answer-option scoring, language-specific prompting, selective self-consistency, confidence checks, and LLM-based review stages.
FinPersona-Bench: A Benchmark for Longitudinal Psychometric Stability of Autonomous Financial Agents
Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed as autonomous financial agents initialized with explicit behavioral mandates such as "preserve capital" or "avoid speculative bets" that are meant to govern every decision throughout deployment. In practice, however, as market context accumulates over long horizons, these mandates gradually lose their behavioral influence, a phenomenon we formalize as Mandate Salience Decay (MSD). To measure MSD objectively, we introduce FinPersona-Bench, a simulation benchmark in which a synthetic market decouples observable price from hidden fundamental value, enabling falsifiable evaluation across three failure modes: trading without signal in calm markets, panic-selling during crashes, and ignoring fundamental value during speculative bubbles. Evaluating 18 leading frontier and open-source LLMs, each assigned one of three behavioral profiles ranging from strict capital preservation to aggressive growth, shows that MSD compounds over time and is model-dependent. In crash scenarios, the behavioral gap between static agents and those receiving periodic mandate re-grounding grows 4.4x from the first to the final quarter of the simulation. The effects of mandate re-grounding are not uniformly positive: it consistently helps conservative agents in low-signal markets but actively worsens behavior for aggressive agents in the same setting. These findings suggest that reliable long-horizon deployment requires selective, mandate-aware re-grounding based on agent profile and market regime.
LabGuard: Grounding Natural-Language Laboratory Rules into Runtime Guards for Embodied Laboratory Agents
Scientific embodied agents are increasingly capable of carrying out laboratory procedures, but executing these procedures safely in dynamic laboratory environments remains challenging. Current safety approaches often overlook the intermediate step of transforming laboratory natural language, including safety rules, manuals, protocols, and standard operating procedures, into machine-checkable runtime constraints. We introduce LabGuard (Laboratory Guard), a language-to-execution safety suite that grounds natural-language laboratory rules into executable specifications and deploys them as runtime guards. LabGuard includes three core components: LabGuard-IR, which defines a typed executable representation; LabGuard-Bench, which provides 812 supervised annotations expanded from 203 seed laboratory rules; and LabGuard-Grounder, which maps natural-language laboratory rules into LabGuard-IR. The resulting IR instances are handled by the LabGuard Pipeline, which compiles them into runtime monitors and applies them at the controller boundary. Experiments show that LabGuard generalizes to unseen laboratory-rule sources, achieves 79.4 task-scope F1, and reduces unsafe events from 39.5% to 23.8% after monitor compilation. In LabUtopia, its runtime monitors integrate with ACT, keeping interventions below 0.5% while preserving task success.
The FIL Hypothesis: Inductive Biases Help with Kernel Engineering
The Bitter Lesson, which posits that general-purpose methods that scale with computation and data ultimately outperform those with built-in human knowledge, has become a dominant paradigm in the era of Large Language Models. We revisit this principle by observing a new and critical scaling dimension: the duration of the Feedback Information Loop (FIL), the time required for a system to receive a verification signal after generating a prediction. Most historic successes in Artificial Intelligence (AI) have benefited from near instantaneous feedback (e.g., games or classification tasks), but we argue that future AI applications in science and the physical world will inherently involve FILs ranging from hours to weeks. This trend poses a fundamental scaling limit, as obtaining enough verification steps required by purely data-driven methods becomes practically impossible. Additionally, we propose a method that is orthogonal to purely data-driven approaches, based on human-inspired expert knowledge. The method relies on inductive biases and constraining the solution space. We provide an initial validation of the hypothesis and the method, by studying the real-world GPU programming task, a domain with non-trivial FIL, and demonstrate that incorporating inductive biases yields superior performance over data-driven approaches. The code is released under: https://github.com/ai-nikolai/robust_kernelbench
Bayesian control for coding agents
Modern coding agents pair LLM generators with various tools, including cheap diagnostics and expensive verifiers. The tool-use decisions are typically governed by orchestrators that often use fixed rules and ignore uncertainty. We formulate orchestration as cost-sensitive sequential hypothesis testing: a Bayesian controller maintains a belief over candidate correctness and dynamically decides whether to gather more evidence, refine the candidate, verify it, or stop. Across six generators and nine coding benchmarks, Bayesian control proves to be most valuable when verification is costly and critics are informative but imperfect. Beyond control, the belief state yields an interpretable correctness score that outperforms token-probability and raw tool-success baselines for uncertainty quantification.
TABVERSE: Benchmarking Cross-Format Table Understanding in LLMs and VLMs
Large Language Models (LLMs) and Vision-Language Models (VLMs) are increasingly evaluated on table reasoning tasks, but the role of table representation remains under-explored. In practice, the same table content may appear in different structural formats, such as HTML, Markdown, and LaTeX, or as rendered images. However, existing evaluations often let content, format, layout, and modality vary together, making it difficult to isolate representation effects. We introduce TABVERSE, a controlled multimodal table benchmark that aligns the same table content across multiple structural formats and rendered images, with question category and difficulty tags. This design enables systematic evaluation of representation effects while holding table content fixed. We evaluate LLMs and VLMs across three tasks: Question Answering (QA), Structural Understanding Capability (SUC), and Structure Reconstruction (SR). Our results show that representation choice substantially affects table understanding. Models generally perform better with structured text than with rendered images, but the size of this gap depends on the task, model, and format. HTML is often the most robust text format, while row-sensitive structural tasks and syntactically usable LaTeX reconstruction remain challenging. These findings show that table representation is a key factor in reliable table evaluation.
Instruction-Guided Poetry Generation in Arabic and Its Dialects
Poetry has long been a central art form for Arabic speakers, serving as a powerful medium of expression and cultural identity. While modern Arabic speakers continue to value poetry, existing research on Arabic poetry within Large Language Models (LLMs) has primarily focused on analysis tasks such as interpretation or metadata prediction, e.g., rhyme schemes and titles. In contrast, our work addresses the practical aspect of poetry creation in Arabic by introducing controllable generation capabilities to assist users in writing poetry. Specifically, we present a large-scale, carefully curated instruction-based dataset in Modern Standard Arabic (MSA) and various Arabic dialects. This dataset enables tasks such as writing, revising, and continuing poems based on predefined criteria, including style and rhyme, as well as performing poetry analysis. Our experiments show that fine-tuning LLMs on this dataset yields models that can effectively generate poetry that is aligned with user requirements, based on both automated metrics and human evaluation with native Arabic speakers. The data and the code are available at https://github.com/mbzuai-nlp/instructpoet-ar