T. M. S. Filho
Publications
Mind the Gap? A Distributional Comparison of Real and Synthetic Priors for Tabular Foundation Models
Tabular foundation models are pre-trained on one of three classes of corpus: curated datasets drawn from benchmark repositories, tables harvested at scale from the web, or synthetic tables sampled from a parametric generative prior. Despite the centrality of pre-training data to model performance, little is known about how these corpora relate to one another in distribution, and the impact this has on downstream performance. In this work we take three canonical, archetypal datasets used to train tabular foundation models; the T4 dataset represents web-scraped corpora, the TabFM dataset curated tables from Kaggle, and the TabICL dataset as the only well-used synthetic prior with publicly available parameters. We characterise each corpus using aggregate features over whole tables, columns and correlations, and compare them using discriminator AUCs and k-NN coverage metrics. We find that the TabICL synthetic prior occupies a narrow region of the space of real tables, that this mismatch cannot be closed by optimising prior hyper-parameters across more than 86 thousand configurations, and that curated and web-scraped corpora are broadly interchangeable on a distributional level in feature space. Surprisingly, the distributional gap between synthetic pre-training data and real tables has a clearly detectable effect on performance under neither feature-based proximity measures or TabICL's own internal representations, suggesting that coverage of the real-data distribution is not the primary driver of TabICL's generalisation.
Continual learning and refinement of causal models through dynamic predicate invention
Efficiently navigating complex environments requires agents to internalize the underlying logic of their world, yet standard world modelling methods often struggle with sample inefficiency, lack of transparency, and poor scalability. We propose a framework for constructing symbolic causal world models entirely online by integrating continuous model learning and repair into the agent's decision loop, by leveraging the power of Meta-Interpretive Learning and predicate invention to find semantically meaningful and reusable abstractions, allowing an agent to construct a hierarchy of disentangled, high-quality concepts from its observations. We demonstrate that our lifted inference approach scales to domains with complex relational dynamics, where propositional methods suffer from combinatorial explosion, while achieving sample-efficiency orders of magnitude higher than the established PPO neural-network-based baseline.