Oyvind Tafjord
Famous AuthorPublications
Visual prompt engineering for video models
In the age of foundation models, a model is only as good as its prompt. For this reason, prompt engineering has become an essential technique for improving language model performance. Since video models are currently becoming foundation models for visual tasks (e.g., visual reasoning), we here ask whether they similarly benefit from visual prompt engineering: automatically modifying the task image to improve model performance. For example, for a visual physics reasoning task ("Where does the ball land, after passing a set of obstacles?"), an abstract sketch-like scene can be turned into a photorealistic version with a simple call to an image editing model. We find that visual prompt engineering, or VIPE for short, improves video reasoning performance across tasks. In fact, for video models, visual prompt engineering can be even more effective than classic text-based prompt engineering or test-time scaling. Ultimately, just as text-based prompt engineering systematically improves language model performance, visual prompt engineering can serve as a simple, compute-efficient approach to elicit better visual reasoning performance from video models. Example videos on our project page at https://visual-prompt-engineering.github.io/.
PreScience: A Benchmark for Forecasting Scientific Contributions
Can AI systems trained on the scientific record up to a fixed point in time forecast the scientific advances that follow? Such a capability could help researchers identify collaborators and impactful research directions, and anticipate which problems and methods will become central next. We introduce PreScience -- a scientific forecasting benchmark that decomposes the research process into four interdependent generative tasks: collaborator prediction, prior work selection, contribution generation, and impact prediction. PreScience is a carefully curated dataset of 98K recent AI-related research papers, featuring disambiguated author identities, temporally aligned scholarly metadata, and a structured graph of companion author publication histories and citations spanning 502K total papers. We develop baselines and evaluations for each task, including LACERScore, a novel LLM-based measure of contribution similarity that outperforms previous metrics and approximates inter-annotator agreement. We find substantial headroom remains in each task -- e.g. in contribution generation, frontier LLMs achieve only moderate similarity to the ground-truth (GPT-5, averages 5.6 on a 1-10 scale). When composed into a 12-month end-to-end simulation of scientific production, the resulting synthetic corpus is systematically less diverse and less novel than human-authored research from the same period.