Shiming Xiang
Publications
PA-Net: Precipitation-Adaptive Mixture-of-Experts for Long-Tail Rainfall Nowcasting
Precipitation nowcasting is vital for flood warning, agricultural management, and emergency response, yet two bottlenecks persist: the prohibitive cost of modeling million-scale spatiotemporal tokens from multi-variate atmospheric fields, and the extreme long-tailed rainfall distribution where heavy-to-torrential events -- those of greatest societal impact -- constitute fewer than 0.1% of all samples. We propose the Precipitation-Adaptive Network (PA-Net), a Transformer framework whose computational budget is explicitly governed by rainfall intensity. Its core component, Precipitation-Adaptive MoE (PA-MoE), dynamically scales the number of activated experts per token according to local precipitation magnitude, channeling richer representational capacity toward the rare yet critical heavy-rainfall tail. A Dual-Axis Compressed Latent Attention mechanism factorizes spatiotemporal attention with convolutional reduction to manage massive context lengths, while an intensity-aware training protocol progressively amplifies learning signals from extreme-rainfall samples. Experiment on ERA5 demonstrate consistent improvements over state-of-the-art baselines, with particularly significant gains in heavy-rain and rainstorm regimes.
MeTok: An Efficient Meteorological Tokenization with Hyper-Aligned Group Learning for Precipitation Nowcasting
Recently, Transformer-based architectures have advanced meteorological prediction. However, this position-centric tokenizer conflicts with the core principle of meteorological systems, where the weather phenomena undoubtedly involve synergistic interactions among multiple elements while positional information constitutes merely a component of the boundary conditions. This paper focuses primarily on the task of precipitation nowcasting and develops an efficient distribution-centric Meteorological Tokenization (MeTok) scheme, which spatially sequences to group similar meteorological features. Based on the rearrangement, realigned group learning enhances robustness across precipitation patterns, especially extreme ones. Specifically, we introduce the Hyper-Aligned Grouping Transformer (HyAGTransformer) with two key improvements: 1) The Grouping Attention (GA) mechanism uses MeTok to enable self-aligned learning of features from different precipitation patterns; 2) The Neighborhood Feed-Forward Network (N-FFN) integrates adjacent group features, aggregating contextual information to boost patch embedding discriminability. Experiments on the ERA5 dataset for 6-hour forecasts show our method improves the IoU metric by at least 8.2% in extreme precipitation prediction compared to other methods. Additionally, it gains performance with more training data and increased parameters, demonstrating scalability, stability, and superiority over traditional methods.
HVR-Met: A Hypothesis-Verification-Replaning Agentic System for Extreme Weather Diagnosis
While deep learning-based weather forecasting paradigms have made significant strides, addressing extreme weather diagnostics remains a formidable challenge. This gap exists primarily because the diagnostic process demands sophisticated multi-step logical reasoning, dynamic tool invocation, and expert-level prior judgment. Although agents possess inherent advantages in task decomposition and autonomous execution, current architectures are still hampered by critical bottlenecks: inadequate expert knowledge integration, a lack of professional-grade iterative reasoning loops, and the absence of fine-grained validation and evaluation systems for complex workflows under extreme conditions. To this end, we propose HVR-Met, a multi-agent meteorological diagnostic system characterized by the deep integration of expert knowledge. Its central innovation is the ``Hypothesis-Verification-Replanning'' closed-loop mechanism, which facilitates sophisticated iterative reasoning for anomalous meteorological signals during extreme weather events. To bridge gaps within existing evaluation frameworks, we further introduce a novel benchmark focused on atomic-level subtasks. Experimental evidence demonstrates that the system excels in complex diagnostic scenarios.
InfEngine: A Self-Verifying and Self-Optimizing Intelligent Engine for Infrared Radiation Computing
Infrared radiation computing underpins advances in climate science, remote sensing and spectroscopy but remains constrained by manual workflows. We introduce InfEngine, an autonomous intelligent computational engine designed to drive a paradigm shift from human-led orchestration to collaborative automation. It integrates four specialized agents through two core innovations: self-verification, enabled by joint solver-evaluator debugging, improves functional correctness and scientific plausibility; self-optimization, realized via evolutionary algorithms with self-discovered fitness functions, facilitates autonomous performance optimization. Evaluated on InfBench with 200 infrared-specific tasks and powered by InfTools with 270 curated tools, InfEngine achieves a 92.7% pass rate and delivers workflows 21x faster than manual expert effort. More fundamentally, it illustrates how researchers can transition from manual coding to collaborating with self-verifying, self-optimizing computational partners. By generating reusable, verified and optimized code, InfEngine transforms computational workflows into persistent scientific assets, accelerating the cycle of scientific discovery. Code: https://github.com/kding1225/infengine