Kevin Wei
Publications
RCTs & Human Uplift Studies: Methodological Challenges and Practical Solutions for Frontier AI Evaluation
Human uplift studies - or studies that measure AI effects on human performance relative to a status quo, typically using randomized controlled trial (RCT) methodology - are increasingly used to inform deployment, governance, and safety decisions for frontier AI systems. While the methods underlying these studies are well-established, their interaction with the distinctive properties of frontier AI systems remains underexamined, particularly when results are used to inform high-stakes decisions. We present findings from interviews with 16 expert practitioners with experience conducting human uplift studies in domains including biosecurity, cybersecurity, education, and labor. Across interviews, experts described a recurring tension between standard causal inference assumptions and the object of study itself. Rapidly evolving AI systems, shifting baselines, heterogeneous and changing user proficiency, and porous real-world settings strain assumptions underlying internal, external, and construct validity, complicating the interpretation and appropriate use of uplift evidence. We synthesize these challenges across key stages of the human uplift research lifecycle and map them to practitioner-reported solutions, clarifying both the limits and the appropriate uses of evidence from human uplift studies in high-stakes decision-making.
The 2025 AI Agent Index: Documenting Technical and Safety Features of Deployed Agentic AI Systems
Agentic AI systems are increasingly capable of performing professional and personal tasks with limited human involvement. However, tracking these developments is difficult because the AI agent ecosystem is complex, rapidly evolving, and inconsistently documented, posing obstacles to both researchers and policymakers. To address these challenges, this paper presents the 2025 AI Agent Index. The Index documents information regarding the origins, design, capabilities, ecosystem, and safety features of 30 state-of-the-art AI agents based on publicly available information and email correspondence with developers. In addition to documenting information about individual agents, the Index illuminates broader trends in the development of agents, their capabilities, and the level of transparency of developers. Notably, we find different transparency levels among agent developers and observe that most developers share little information about safety, evaluations, and societal impacts. The 2025 AI Agent Index is available online at https://aiagentindex.mit.edu