A. Capponi
Publications
PREFER: Personalized Review Summarization with Online Preference Learning
Product reviews significantly influence purchasing decisions on e-commerce platforms. However, the sheer volume of reviews can overwhelm users, obscuring the information most relevant to their specific needs. Current e-commerce summarization systems typically produce generic, static summaries that fail to account for the fact that (i) different users care about different product characteristics, and (ii) these preferences may evolve with interactions. To address the challenge of unknown latent preferences, we propose an online learning framework that generates personalized summaries for each user. Our system iteratively refines its understanding of user preferences by incorporating feedback directly from the generated summaries over time. We provide a case study using the Amazon Reviews'23 dataset, showing in controlled simulations that online preference learning improves alignment with target user interests while maintaining summary quality.
Designing Agentic AI-Based Screening for Portfolio Investment
We introduce a new agentic artificial intelligence (AI) platform for portfolio management. Our architecture consists of three layers. First, two large language model (LLM) agents are assigned specialized tasks: one agent screens for firms with desirable fundamentals, while a sentiment analysis agent screens for firms with desirable news. Second, these agents deliberate to generate and agree upon buy and sell signals from a large portfolio, substantially narrowing the pool of candidate assets. Finally, we apply a high-dimensional precision matrix estimation procedure to determine optimal portfolio weights. We show, through information acquisition theory, that screening with agentic AI can bring utility gains in screening compared with humans. We introduce the concept of \emph{sensible screening} and establish that, under mild screening errors, the squared Sharpe ratio of the screened portfolio consistently estimates its target. Empirically, our method achieves superior Sharpe ratios relative to an unscreened baseline portfolio and to conventional screening approaches, evaluated on S\&P~500 data over both short and medium terms.
An end-to-end agentic pipeline for smart contract translation and quality evaluation
We present an end-to-end framework for systematic evaluation of LLM-generated smart contracts from natural-language specifications. The system parses contractual text into structured schemas, generates Solidity code, and performs automated quality assessment through compilation and security checks. Using CrewAI-style agent teams with iterative refinement, the pipeline produces structured artifacts with full provenance metadata. Quality is measured across five dimensions, including functional completeness, variable fidelity, state-machine correctness, business-logic fidelity, and code quality aggregated into composite scores. The framework supports paired evaluation against ground-truth implementations, quantifying alignment and identifying systematic error modes such as logic omissions and state transition inconsistencies. This provides a reproducible benchmark for empirical research on smart contract synthesis quality and supports extensions to formal verification and compliance checking.
Agentic AI for Clustering, Relationship Discovery, and Semantic Trading in Prediction Markets
Prediction markets allow users to trade on outcomes of real-world events, but are prone to fragmentation with overlapping questions, implicit equivalences, and hidden contradictions across markets. We present an agentic AI (AAI) pipeline that autonomously recovers cross-market structure from contract text before prices enter the analysis. The workflow first clusters markets into coherent topical groups using natural-language understanding over contract text and metadata, and then identifies contracts within each cluster, but from different event markets, that exhibit strong dependence or leader--follower relationships. We evaluate this system, along with a natural language inference (NLI) benchmark, on a large prediction market dataset from early 2026. Using resolved outcomes to evaluate identified relations, we find that AAI-identified relations are 62.8\% consistent with exchange-recorded settlements, whereas the NLI benchmark only achieves 40.6\% accuracy. Within clusters, the AAI output is sparse and also remarkably compatible as a signed graph with a frustration rate of 0.324\%. As an application, we show how discovered relations inform semantics-based trading strategies on prediction markets. One such strategy yields 14.12\% net ROI after fees in a two-month period in 2026. Overall, we demonstrate the potential for agentic AI as a structural discovery layer for prediction markets.